Its kinda impossible to not let emotions and events in our lives effect the way we see games and outcomes. Trying to remain objective when we are having issues and conflicts in our personal lives can be rather tough.
Recently I just went through this. Struggling with an illness in the family, I found myself in this boat … trying to handicap games and win money for my clients. Not easy. I have always preached that distractions should be kept out of a gamblers life, and one should simply focus on the lines and odds of the games scheduled for that day. However try and attempt that in real life when a situation presents itself.
It is always easy for me to put games on shelves and to take a few days off but when paying clients want action … everyday and night it’s not so easy.
New clients will come along and I always find it very interesting when they ask me “how much should I bet?” Do I really know the answer to that question? Hell no. Every gambler has a different situation they are in with cash flow and bankroll size. I always end up telling them the same thing that only they truly know the answer to that question. The best advice I can give is that when wagering on sports, a gambler should wager the same amount on each and every game and never double up or chase by upping wagers. That is the surest way to go through a bankroll. Oh yeah it’s tempting to think that when you are on a hot streak you should double wagers but it’s important to keep in mind that not every wager is hit. This method of bankroll management has kept me going through many years of wagering on both sports and the horses.
Focus, focus, focus! I can’t stress this enough. It’s tough though, it really is. Gambling on any sport is tough enough. Staying positive and upbeat is the key to your success and the important thing is to have goals set and a solid plan on making money and bankroll management.
Another key element to a successful 2017 is surrounding and hanging around positive people this year. Don’t let the negativity of others drag you down. It’s hard to watch and enjoy a game when you have a toxic person sitting next to you telling you why you are going to lose a game you wagered on before it’s even over. The possible outcome or nobody’s opinion should EVER be shared before the conclusion of a game. That is simply bad luck and people that do that should have limited access to a gambler. I hate it when people will call me at half-time and say, “you’re looking good” or “you got this.” To me that is the kiss of death and they will get some quick advice from me on keeping their mouth shut. Or it will be the last time they go to a game or I pick up the phone when they call.
When one places a bet, or is studying the lines keep an open mind and don’t bet from the heart. Don’t bet on the Toronto Raptors when you are in Vegas simply because you were born in Canada. Being able to be objective is a HUGE part of being successful. I have a rule of thumb I go by. No favorite teams in my office. When somebody asks me who my favorite team is I’ll tell them, “whoever I can make money on tonight. Sure it’s not sexy but it has helped me learn you need to be objective.
The last thing is to have fun. Sure you are in this to make money but if it’s causing you to have health issues wagering on and watching the games perhaps it’s time to look for another profession or hobby. There is not a faster way to lose your bankroll … and health than to wake up and stress yourself looking at the lines. Sure it’s natural to be anxious when you are looking at possible wagers but if you find yourself hitting the Tums bottle once to many times during the day maybe you need to cut back on the wagering a bit.
I hear it all the time. Not only is the Los Alamitos meet currently running too short (8 days) the track configuration is odd and can produce some bizarre and confusing stretch duels. One thing ‘cappers do agree on, is they have been liking the field sizes and the long shot payoffs that the track has been producing so far.
Unlike Santa Anita and Del Mar, which can have short field sizes and many $3.80 winners, Los Alamitos has certainly been producing some interesting winners and payoffs to say the least.
Take Thursday’s card for example. Meet At Jakes (1st) winner at $154.80 … Resilient Humor (6th) at $67.40, both winners on 12/08 and then Devils Triangle at $185.80 on Sunday, 12/11. At the Santa Anita and recently concluded Del Mar meeting, you could go several meetings without producing winners like this. But all three came the same week, two on the same day. Keep in mind there have been some other nice winners since opening day.
What I’m simply trying to suggest is that with the oddly configured course and creative condition book that Los Alamitos has been cooking up, wouldn’t it be nice to give them some more racing dates for the race fan?
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How many times a day, or during the week for that matter does a gambler come upon a horse entered in a race that is a maiden that has a career mark of 0 for 7? How about a runner that is 0 for 14, or 0 for 21? Are these horses good wagers at all? Do they have any value at all? My answer to you is a resounding no.
After all, how many times should it take for a horse to win a race? It’s always been my belief that if a horse can’t win in 5 or 6 starts it’s best to give up on them and simply move on. Often, these 0’fer horses, as I like to call them, offer no value and simply drain a handicappers bankroll roll. The thought that these horses are “due” never really pan out and more often than not drain a handicappers bankroll. The thought that are a good place or show bet is more practical but do you really want your bankroll relying on a horse that has already proven he has no heart being in a photo finish with you holding a ticket on him? No thanks.
Now let’s make it interesting. How about a horse that owns a career mark of 6 wins from 30 career starts. That’s a solid 20% win ratio. When a handicapper comes upon a horse like that it’s often thought that this horse is a trier and likes to win races. But, upon further review you notice he is 0 for 11 this year. Now you have to question is the same horse that won 6 times or has he developed some physical or mental issues that are preventing him from winning. Again, this horse would not be a play for me.
Now keep in mind that sometimes these horses will win and bounce back with a win and pay a nice price. Some will try and lure you on paper and they’ll be tempting with a drop in class or a stretch out in distance or cut back. maybe they’ll add the blinkers or be taking them off. But for me they deserve only one thing and that is to draw a line through them when they show up on the entry sheet.
If you have a horse racing related question, you can contact Eddie the Hat at email@example.com
The Hook. Gamblers can either love it or hate it but if it’s used properly to ones advantage it can be the difference in winning or losing.
One thing we have preached for years is when you come upon a game you feel is going to be decided by a field goal and find that a team you like is getting +3 1/2 jump on it. Act very quickly so that you can take advantage and get that extra + 1/2 point, or the hook as it’s called in gambling terms.
Such was the case this past weekend in three games that we liked. The three were all underdogs and all three were offering the hook when we took advantage. Example, was the Michigan vs. Ohio State game. This was a game that I figured would come down to a field goal and I loved Michigan. I ended up with a big play on Michigan +3 1/2 and was able to scratch out the win thanks to the hook. It pays to do your shopping early and look for games that offer the hook. Of course the same would apply if you think that a game will come down to a touch down and you like the chalk. If the line is -6 1/2, jump on it quickly so if you are correct you’ll cash on your bet.
Another item that I can’t stress enough on is having a game plan going into wagering. This applies to both horses and sports and requires some discipline going in. Know what you are going to do … what games/horses you like before you do it. Wager on them and then walk away. A smart gambler knows when it’s simply not his day, and just licks his/her wounds and wait for another day. It’s the fool that will “chase” his money and try to make up for losing wagers to win it back. That can and often does lead to monumental losses and the gambler losing the bankroll prematurely. Gambling on sports/horses is a marathon, not a sprint. You can’t measure your success by one day, but over the season. That’s why so many people fail and have to walk away broke.
Hope this helps. If you require some advice, please feel free to e-mail us so that we can help you with your wagering. http://www.sportswagers-selections.com is the best way to reach us.